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What lies ahead?

What lies ahead? Well, first of all we wish all the serene and fruitful 2022 we all deserve despite the uncertainties looming. Of course our thoughts go to those who in 2021 endured hardship both physical, mental and economic. May the future bring to you and your Families some solace. In these troubled times we keep a very high level of alert with respect to the global sanitary and geopolitical situation to steer toward safety. The situation is to say…

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Business interruption risk profiles

Riskope’s ORE deployments generally include quantitative convergent business interruption risk profiles. These are based on “as usual” and, very importantly, on divergent scenarios. They allow for tactical and strategic corporate planning while facing, for example, climatic uncertainties. It is not rare to see a client smile at our scenarios descriptions. In particular, when they include hazards that may be interpreted as “far fetched”. Indeed, the dominos effects that intervene in those cases, due to the interdependencies within the considered system…

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Pit failure at Codelco Ministro Hayes in Chile

We read about the recent pit failure at Codelco Ministro Hayes in Chile. We have also read that there will be no impact on the mining operations in this particular case but that is not significant in today’s proposed discussion. This failure is particularly interesting for Riskope as we recently performed a ORE2_Slopes quantitative risk assessment on a large open pit mine in Austral Africa. For a change the client mining company and the mine location are confidential. By the way,…

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ORE2 tailings conclusions

This series of eight blogposts is a summary of what a standard ORE2_Tailings™ quantitative risk assessment deployment report includes. Indeed, the ultimate goal of the report is Risk-Informed Decision-Making (RIDM) support for the owner and the EoR. As a matter of fact the methodology is compatible with ISO 31000 and of course ICMM GISTM. The ORE2_Tailings™ deployment uses archival documents supplied by the client for each Tailings Storage Facility (TSF) and finally related dams and written Q/A sessions The report…

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ORE2 tailings tactical and strategic

As stated earlier ORE2_Tailings™ allows to define in a clear, transparent, and reproducible way which risks are tolerable or intolerable. Among the intolerable risks ORE2_Tailings™ allows to define which risks are tactical and which ones are strategic. We discussed tactical and strategic planning for dam portfolio using ORE2_Tailings™  in https://www.riskope.com/2021/06/30/tactical-and-strategic-planning-for-dam-portfolio-using-ore2_tailings/.  In our reports we show that risks of the considered portfolio belong to a three families as follows: tolerable, meaning they are below the risk tolerance of the client. These…

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ORE2 tailings RIDM

We split this Chapter in two sections: section 10.1 discusses what actions one can take to enhance the knowledge base. These are obvious “simple” procedural mitigations. Thye lead to better understanding of the risks and/or to mitigate them. Section 10.2 shows how one can deploy ORE2_Tailings™ during the mitigation design process. That is in order to support decision-making. The goal is to define rational and sustainable risk mitigation programs. This process has to occur in parallel with the design by…

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first steps ORE2 tailings workflow

First steps ORE2 tailings workflow: 2 – ARCHIVAL DOCUMENT SEARCH METHODOLOGY The archival documents delivered by the client to Riskope should cover the TSFs and their dams including: geotechnical studies; geological studies; design reports; geotechnical analyses reports; inspections; correspondence; incidents descriptions; dam break analyses; FIA and GISTM consequences evaluations; emergency plans; and finally monitoring (equipment and measurements as applicable). During the deployment we deliver an analysis of the archival gaps, i.e. a list of documents that are apparently missing or…

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ORE2 tailings technical explanations

The first ORE2_Tailings™ deployment for a given client and selected TSF portfolio is an a priori endeavor insofar it delivers estimates that require calibration and adaptation as new data and new events will occur. In particular, this report will require amendments and updates when, for example, new Space Observation (satellite) or other monitoring results, corrective actions reports, changes in service conditions, new incidents reports and inspections may become available. ORE2 tailings technical explanations: Diagnostic poins  ORE2_Tailings™ is a subset of…

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