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Season’s Greetings from Riskope! Voeux de Saison par Riskope! Auguri di Stagione da Riskope. Buen Fin de Año y Feliz 2015

Season’s Greetings from Riskope! Voeux de Saison par Riskope! Auguri di Stagione da Riskope. Buen Fin de Año y Feliz 2015 CLICK THE PICTURE TO VIEW THE MOVIE! This year Riskope has decided to celebrate the Year End by proposing an animated Tale of King Provvidus, Riskopius, his trustworthy advisor and ORE, his faithful method. Season’s Greetings from Riskope! Voeux de Saison par Riskope! Auguri di Stagione da Riskope. Buen Fin de Año y Feliz 2015. This communication project has taken…

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Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, Course on Rational Risk and Crisis Management

We present our next endeavor: Course on Rational Risk and Crisis Management in Kuala Lumpur. This course is suitable for anyone who is involved in process hazards, risk quantification and preparation of 360 degrees, holistic, ISO 31000 compliant Risk Assessment for business, operations, projects. You can see the brochure and registration information here. Course on Rational Risk and Crisis Management in Kuala Lumpur The methodologies introduced in this course will greatly benefit money lenders, insurers in addition to corporate managers,…

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Can we stop misrepresenting reality to the public?

We gave a presentation in Toronto. We were at the CIM 2013 conference  and  the topic was Can we stop misrepresenting reality to the public? The discussion was of course set in the risks related to mining and extractions. Summary of the main points The main points made are summarized below. You will not: manage (your) capital if you do not understand risks. be able to make proper decisions if you do not understand risks and finally, able to operate if…

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ISO 31000 IEC, ISO 31010 and Tolerance, Risk Ranking, Crisis and Reputational Impacts

  Back in 1999, we were giving on a regular basis a course at UBC (Continuing Education, University of British Columbia). It was entitled “Design of Risk Management Systems”. Later, in the book entitled Improving Sustainability through Reasonable Risk and Crisis Management ( A guide to Making Better Decisions ISBN 978-0-9784462-0-8) we promoted a strong linkage between Risk Management and Crisis Management. We also stresse the need for robust, science based, risk ranking methodologies. Today we will look at ISO 31000 IEC,…

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Avoid liabilities by using Optimum Risk Estimates

In one of our recent post we published a series of embarrassing questions that could arise in Court if you had used PIGs risk matrix…here is how to Avoid liabilities by using Optimum Risk Estimates and you would reply if you had used ORE instead. Questions and replies on ORE use 1) So, on which basis did you decide that the probability of the event was “medium” , and more importantly, how did you evaluate the probability of the events? By…

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Arbitrary selections in Risk Management are a liability.

We can see a day when a case will be challenged in court against a company that used Probability Impact Graphs (PIGs risk matrix) for their risk assessment. The questions that could be asked will be horribly embarrassing and very damaging to the PIGs risk matrix’s user. Likely, they will tend to prove that the approach constituted a professional negligence. Perhaps due to the breach of Duty of Care. Indeed Arbitrary selections in Risk Management are a liability. A preliminary list…

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Risk perception, corporate prestige, psychological factors, alibi and denial.

Risk perception, corporate prestige, psychological factors are important sources of irrational decisions. Roughly ten years ago we were invited by a very famous and prestigious European Railways company to give a seminar to top management. NB: the company name is covered by confidentiality and we have also slightly altered the story to further protect the identities of the implied parties. European Railways companies are “state owned” enterprises. Thus their Boards generally have c-suite who either are administration veterans or politicians.…

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What Fukushima (2010) nuclear accident, the Twin Towers (9/11) terror attack, deadly traffic accidents and Aquila earthquake (Italy), hurricanes have in common?

In this blogpost we attempt an update of Whitman’s and ANCOLD tolerance/acceptability curves. These link casualties from man-made or natural catastrophes, large dams failures to a “tolerable” annual probability. The attempt shows evidence for a G8-wide societal acceptability which has only slightly changed since the original studies by Whitman..   We have already discussed many times how well-balanced and sustainable decisions can only be taken if risks are compared to properly defined risk tolerance /acceptability criteria. Comparison of various risk…

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