The paper titled “Pyramids, Toxic Wastes & Nuclear Reactors Containments. A Lesson Drawn from History with a Risk Manager Perspective.” got accepted!
Feb 6th, 2014
A new paper by Riskope: Pyramids, Toxic Wastes & Nuclear Reactors Containments. A Lesson Drawn from History with a Risk Manager Perspective.
Pyramids, Toxic Wastes & Nuclear Reactors Containments. A Lesson Drawn from History with a Risk Manager Perspective
Riskope wrote a paper for the IAEG XII Congress – Torino, September 15-19, 2014. The paper abstract is the following:
Risk Assessments for “perpetuity” (geo-engineering) projects, i.e projects that should last “forever” and/or receive “perpetual care”, are raising in number and criticality. These project oftentimes bear to the storage of wastes. These wastes contain toxic, not easy to neutralize, not necessarily radioactive, compounds. No prior Human generation has tackled this problem because: a) produced volumes were insignificant or b) there was no real understanding of “perpetuity”.
This paper compares the “historic” world-wide rate of major accidents of Tailings Dams and Nuclear Reactors to previously published acceptability criteria and codes. The paper shows how we can estimate a generic modern “excellent quality” dam probability of failure. In addition it shows how the initial probability of failure will evolve during the dam life. That is as care and monitoring are released in the post production phase and under different hazards. The paper then explores selected Human geo-structures survivability experience. Finally suggests a model for long term risk evolution of Tailings Dams, with particular emphasis on post production/closure.
Tagged with: Acceptability tolerability, Nuclear Reactors, perpetuity, risk assessments, Tailings Dams
Category: Consequences, Hazard, Mitigations, Optimum Risk Estimates, Probabilities, Probability Impact Graphs, Risk analysis, Risk management, Tolerance/Acceptability