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ORE2 tailings conclusions

This series of eight blogposts is a summary of what a standard ORE2_Tailings™ quantitative risk assessment deployment report includes. Indeed, the ultimate goal of the report is Risk-Informed Decision-Making (RIDM) support for the owner and the EoR. As a matter of fact the methodology is compatible with ISO 31000 and of course ICMM GISTM. The ORE2_Tailings™ deployment uses archival documents supplied by the client for each Tailings Storage Facility (TSF) and finally related dams and written Q/A sessions The report…

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ORE2 tailings tactical and strategic

As stated earlier ORE2_Tailings™ allows to define in a clear, transparent, and reproducible way which risks are tolerable or intolerable. Among the intolerable risks ORE2_Tailings™ allows to define which risks are tactical and which ones are strategic. We discussed tactical and strategic planning for dam portfolio using ORE2_Tailings™  in https://www.riskope.com/2021/06/30/tactical-and-strategic-planning-for-dam-portfolio-using-ore2_tailings/.  In our reports we show that risks of the considered portfolio belong to a three families as follows: tolerable, meaning they are below the risk tolerance of the client. These…

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ORE2 tailings RIDM

We split this Chapter in two sections: section 10.1 discusses what actions one can take to enhance the knowledge base. These are obvious “simple” procedural mitigations. Thye lead to better understanding of the risks and/or to mitigate them. Section 10.2 shows how one can deploy ORE2_Tailings™ during the mitigation design process. That is in order to support decision-making. The goal is to define rational and sustainable risk mitigation programs. This process has to occur in parallel with the design by…

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ORE2 tailings results

We use archival information to formulate the ORE2_Tailings™ quality note and causality analysis. This includes site visits (when possible and if agreed), photographic historic documentation. Of course information will evolve in time, as new data may become available. Thus, one can use ORE2 tailings results to decide which aspects of the life of a considered structure to study. ORE2_Tailings™ results encompass various dam body’s probabilities. They correspond to the FoS yielded by available engineering analyses and the causality analysis. Here…

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ORE2 tailings deployment steps

ORE2 Tailings deployment steps: 5.1 Failure definition We designed ORE2_Tailings™  to support RIDM for tailings dams portfolios reliability enhancements. One achieves reliability by reducing failure likelihood to a certain level, and risks are tolerable. Thus it is necessary to clearly state what one considers the success of a structure within the portfolio. Indeed, unless we clearly define success, failure remains an ambiguous term.   ORE2_Tailings™ considers a dam successful if it: stands as built and does not break allowing for…

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first steps ORE2 tailings workflow

First steps ORE2 tailings workflow: 2 – ARCHIVAL DOCUMENT SEARCH METHODOLOGY The archival documents delivered by the client to Riskope should cover the TSFs and their dams including: geotechnical studies; geological studies; design reports; geotechnical analyses reports; inspections; correspondence; incidents descriptions; dam break analyses; FIA and GISTM consequences evaluations; emergency plans; and finally monitoring (equipment and measurements as applicable). During the deployment we deliver an analysis of the archival gaps, i.e. a list of documents that are apparently missing or…

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General ORE2 tailings workflow

ORE2_Tailings™ is a quantitative risk assessment platform. Riskope designed it specifically for tailings systems (active and inactive). When we deploy ORE2_Tailings™ to a portfolio of dams, possibly over multiple properties, it allows for tactical and strategic planning. Our practice has shown that ORE2_Tailings™ and the general ORE2 tailings workflow, delivers results similar to those of common practice quantitative approaches (Event trees, Failure trees, Bowties). Furthermore ORE2_Tailings™  enables answering specific questions linked to the causality of potential failures, optimization of cost…

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Neo-mythological risk animals

Various neo-mythological risk animals have caught the imagination of businesses and have had world-wide mediatic success. Unfortunately, sometimes even against their creators will, they generate a slanted image. Many use that image as it allows “iffy” constructs. Furthermore it offers an excuse for a classic human behavior. That is doing nothing and procrastinating. Let’s explain the point: black swans are defined by Taleb as “an unpredictable or unforeseen event, typically ones with extreme consequences” however they have been used and…

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